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Wed Oct 14, 2009 10:45 am

 
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Financial, Tech ETFs Get Earnings Boost
By Michael Johnston

Michael Johnston is senior analyst for ETF Database. Many analysts are building up the coming weeks as one of the most important earnings seasons in recent memory, a report card on the strength and sustainability of the economic recovery in the U.S. So far, the grades have been stellar.

Intel(INTC Quote) revenue and profits declined from a year ago, but the chipmaker managed to beat Wall Street's expectations, indicating that the battered chip industry may be on the brink of a comeback.

In the financial sector, JPMorgan Chase(JPM Quote) reported much better-than-expected results on the back of strength in its investment banking unit. Despite continued loan losses, JPMorgan saw "broad-based growth" in several of its businesses, according to chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon. The upbeat results gave hope to investors expecting most major financial institutions to post earnings declines

While Intel and JPMorgan represent only small portions of most technology and financial ETFs, their good news should send most sector-based funds higher on Wednesday, as the upside surprise from these firms is deemed not to be company-specific, but rather due to an improving economic environment and more favorable business climate.

JPMorgan's stellar results are good news for broad-based financials ETFs, including the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Financial Services Index Fund(IYG), Vanguard Financials(VFH) ETF, and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF).

These funds are dominated by holdings in mega-banks like JPMorgan, Bank of America(BAC Quote), Wells Fargo(WFC Quote), Goldman Sachs (GS Quote) and Citigroup(C Quote), many of which are scheduled to issue earnings reports in coming weeks.

Intel's unexpected results have had a more wide-reaching impact. In addition to boosting U.S. technology funds such as Technology Select Sector SPDR(XLK) and the iShares Dow Jones U.S. Technology Sector Index Fund(IYW) ETF (as well as more targeted tech ETFs like the PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio(PSI), expectations for a recovering tech sector gave a boost to tech-heavy Asian economies, including Australia and South Korea.

www.thestreet.com



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Wed Sep 02, 2009 5:15 pm

 
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Where to Find the Best Dividend Stocks

By Dan Caplinger
September 2, 2009

Investors count on dividend-paying stocks to provide them with regular income and a smoother ride than more aggressive investments. Now that the bear market in equities has turned the logic of the dividend-stock world upside down, smart investors are looking beyond their usual hunting grounds to find the best dividend stocks.

How the rules changed
Before 2008, dividend investors found many attractive stock prospects from two industries: financial companies and utilities. With financial institutions primarily making money by borrowing money cheaply and lending it out at higher rates, investors could expect regular, predictable profits that would support increasing dividend payments as those institutions grew.

Similarly, many saw the utility industry as the haven for the most conservative investors, with utility stocks earning a reputation as "widows and orphans" investments that would provide healthy amounts of income for shareholders without much risk of loss. Regulated by government agencies, many utilities could count on modest but nearly guaranteed profit margins in exchange for providing the services their customers needed.

Yet both financials and utilities have lost their good reputations among investors. Financials saw their shares decimated in the market crisis last year, as even huge banks like Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) resorted to cutting their dividends to conserve cash. And while many utility stocks have maintained their dividends, others, including Constellation Energy and Great Plains Energy, have had to cut dividends substantially.

Where the dividends are
So what should conservative investors do to maintain the dividend income they need? One idea is to look beyond the financial and utility sectors to seek out other stocks with good current dividend yields that appear to be sustainable.

To find them, I looked at a full range of sector ETFs covering the rest of the market's industries. I compared not only their dividend yields but also their returns over the past year and during the recent rally. Here's a full list:

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Source: SPDR, Yahoo! Finance.

Of course, there's some subjectivity in weighing the various factors. For instance, industrials have fairly high dividend yields, but they've already seen share prices run up substantially in the rally, and they were more prone to losses during the financial crisis.

If you're looking for reasonable yields on stocks that haven't run up too much recently, then consumer staple stocks look like the best candidates right now. Core consumer staples stocks like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), and Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM) all have dividend yields greater than 3%. Moreover, based on their reasonable payout ratios, many consumer staples companies appear poised to maintain or increase their dividend payments for the foreseeable future. If you're looking for safety over the potential for explosive growth, then these defensive stocks should continue to serve you well.

The health-care industry, on the other hand, doesn't have the same obvious allure. Amid the current debate over national health-care proposals, companies like Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and Merck (NYSE: MRK) have no assurance that their business models in the U.S. five years from now will look anything like they do now, or that they'll be able to maintain current profit levels. Yet unless a final resolution to the health-care controversy results in dramatic changes -- something that looks less and less likely, the longer it continues -- those companies will continue to play a major role in health care. Moreover, the higher yields that those big-pharma stocks pay compensate investors somewhat for their risk of future uncertainty.

Stay on the lookout
If the financial crisis taught us anything, it's that conservative investors can't simply assume that what's always been safe before will remain safe in the future. By keeping your eyes open to current trends, you can shift your portfolio to dividend stocks that will give you the best chance at getting safe, sustainable income for years to come.


www.fool.com



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Sat Aug 09, 2008 7:02 pm

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The investment seeks to correspond generally to the performance, before fees and expenses, of publicly traded equities of companies in the technology economic sector. The fund typically invests at least 95% of assets in companies of the technology sector. The fund's sector includes companies from the following industries: Internet and IT services, software, computers, peripherals, electronics, semiconductor equipment, and a variety of telecommunication products. It is nondiversified.



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